Italian Export Resilience and Global Shipping Trends 2026

The 26th Fedespedi Economic Outlook reveals a robust performance for Italian foreign trade despite a volatile geopolitical climate. In the first ten months of 2025, Italy’s GDP grew by 0.7%, supported by a trade surplus of €39.6 billion. National exports rose by 3.5%, while imports saw a 3.8% increase. A significant highlight is the 9.1% surge in exports to the United States, largely fueled by a 62.7% boom in the pharmaceutical sector and a strategic rush to fulfill orders ahead of potential new tariffs.

In the maritime sector, global container traffic grew by approximately 5%, with major international ports handling over 375 million TEUs. Italian ports mirrored this upward trend, moving 9.35 TEUs—an 8.3% increase compared to 2024. While hubs like Savona (+58.4%) and Gioia Tauro (+14.2%) showed exceptional growth, others like Trieste faced double-digit declines. Notably, global shipping reliability improved in 2025, with on-time arrivals reaching 61.4%.

The air cargo sector also remained steady, with Italian traffic up by 1.7%. Milano Malpensa continues to dominate the domestic market, managing 60% of total volumes. However, challenges persist; while sectors like shipbuilding saw massive growth (+192.5%), the automotive industry struggled with a 20.6% drop in exports to the U.S. As we move into 2026, energy price volatility and transatlantic tensions remain the primary factors influencing the international logistics landscape.

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Source:fedespedi.it